Garden Yield Estimator
Predict your harvest from your planting plan.
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First & last frost dates for your hardiness zone.
Chlorova · updated for 2026
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Zone averages for planning only. Your microclimate (slope, city heat, lake effect) can shift dates 1-3 weeks — check local 10-year records before planting.
The frost date calculator looks up average last spring frost, first fall frost and the frost-free window for your USDA hardiness zone. These two dates bracket everything else in the season: when to transplant tomatoes, when to direct-sow peas, when the fall lettuce sowing stops. A zone 6 garden runs roughly April 5 to October 25 — about 195 frost-free days — and once you have the bookends, every 'X weeks before last frost' instruction on a seed packet becomes simple arithmetic instead of folklore.
There is no formula to calculate here — frost risk is looked up, not computed, because it is a climate statistic rather than geometry. The dates behind this tool follow the pattern of NOAA climate normals and USDA zone data: the 'average last frost' is conventionally the date with roughly a 50 percent chance of a later freeze, and extension services publish 90 percent and 10 percent risk dates on either side of it.
The frost-free window is simply the days between the two average dates. Every crop's 'days to maturity' has to fit inside that budget, ideally with a two-week cushion at each end — the same check the garden yield planner runs on your planting schedule.
Averages by zone group for orientation. Microclimates shift these more than zones do: cold air drains to low ground, and city heat runs a half-zone warmer than the surrounding census.
| Zones | Last frost | First frost | Days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3–4 | May 1 – May 15 | Aug 15 – Sep 15 | 90–130 |
| 5–6 | Apr 5 – Apr 15 | Sep 25 – Oct 25 | 170–195 |
| 7–8 | Mar 10 – Mar 25 | Nov 5 – Nov 20 | 215–240 |
| 9–10 | Jan 30 – Feb 15 | Dec or rare | 280–325 |
| 11–13 | Frost-free | Frost-free | 365 |
Use these dates as the planning bracket for your region, especially when paired with the seed-starting math that counts weeks backward from them. For site-accurate dates, your extension's freeze map or a zip-code 50 percent risk date beats any zone average — the two-week spread between neighboring towns in hilly country is real. And before any big transplant weekend, the tool sets expectations while the live forecast sets the actual date you put plants in the ground.
Within a couple of weeks — they are zone-wide averages, not address-specific. Elevation and slope aspect move true dates more than any other factor, and a frost hollow can differ ten days from a hilltop in the same yard.
Row cover, a bucket over new transplants, or wheel trays into the garage overnight — light cover buys 2 to 4 °F, which is often enough. Watering the soil the afternoon before helps too, because moist ground holds daytime heat longer into the night.
Frost dates govern what you plant each season; hardiness zones govern what survives your winters. For perennial plantings like fruit and asparagus, the zone minimum is the number that decides whether it lives five years.
Measured across the contiguous US since 1960, average frost-free periods have lengthened by roughly two weeks. That trend is real but noisy — a single late-May freeze can still end every tomato in the state regardless of the fifty-year average.
Only if they share your aspect and drainage. Differences in slope between two houses in one town routinely produce ten-day spreads in true frost risk.
No freeze in the climate normals, though a high-elevation zone 11 can still dip below 40 °F. Tender perennials grow year-round; what limits winter production there is daylight and dry season, not frost dates.
Chlorova Gardening Team
Builds, checks and documents every tool we publish
Chlorova editorial review
Checked against extension-service publications
Predict your harvest from your planting plan.
Use ToolFit the right number of plants in every square foot.
Use ToolTurns your frost dates and a soil reading into a seed-by day for fall, spring or dormant overseeding, with a germination check.
Use ToolPick a crop and your USDA zone band to get its planting window, whether it is a cool or warm-season crop, and its days to maturity — one at-a-glance sowing reference instead of a dozen date calculators.
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