Garden Yield Estimator
Predict your harvest from your planting plan.
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Estimate a grain harvest from plant count and seeds per plant, then convert it into bushels, weight, per-acre yield and a realistic verdict.
Chlorova · updated for 2026
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This is a pre-harvest estimate built on seed counting, and its accuracy depends entirely on how honestly you sampled plants and seeds per plant. Kernel counts move with pollination, nitrogen and drought, and bushel weight shifts with moisture, so a harvest weighed wet will not match a bushel sold at standard dryness. Use the figures to size storage, order seed or judge a spacing decision. Do not use them for an insurance claim, a crop share settlement or an elevator contract, all of which require a weighed, moisture-corrected yield.
Yield estimates for grain start with a count of seeds, which sounds like homework until you realise it is the only honest way to forecast a bushel before harvest. A bushel of any grain is simply a fixed number of kernels, and that number differs enormously between crops: about 80,000 for corn, near 700,000 for wheat. Multiply plants by seeds per plant, subtract what the field and the birds take, then divide. Here is that arithmetic for a patch or an acre.
The whole method rests on one fact: a standard bushel is defined by weight, and grain of a given crop contains a fairly stable number of kernels per pound, so a bushel is also a seed count. Corn runs near 80,000 kernels to the bushel at 56 lb, soybeans about 180,000 at 60 lb, wheat roughly 700,000 at 60 lb and oats near 350,000 at a light 32 lb. Multiply plants by seeds per plant, cut the loss percentage, then divide by that number.
Everything else is scaling. Weight follows from bushels times the legal bushel weight of the crop. Per-acre figures come from dividing your patch yield by its area and multiplying by 43,560, which is why a garden plot reads low: wide spacing costs density rather than yield per plant. The seed-per-square-foot line is the one worth watching in a small plot, because it shows whether crowding or under-planting is what limits the harvest.
Legal bushel weights and the approximate seed counts behind them at standard moisture. Kernel counts move with variety and season, so treat these as conversion factors rather than constants.
| Crop | Bushel weight | Seeds per bushel | Typical per plant |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corn | 56 lb | 80,000 | 500 to 800 kernels per ear |
| Soybean | 60 lb | 180,000 | 50 to 80 pods |
| Wheat | 60 lb | 700,000 | one head, 20 to 50 kernels |
| Oats | 32 lb | 350,000 | several panicles |
| Sorghum | 56 lb | 1,000,000 | one head, 800 to 1,500 |
Use it when you want a bin-size decision before harvest, when a seed order needs justifying against the ground you have, when comparing a densely planted strip with a wide garden row, and when a grain buyer asks what your patch should have made. Pair it with the plant population calculator for spacing decisions, the garden yield estimator for fresh-eating crops, and the grain bin storage tool once the harvest is real.
About 80,000, which is the figure behind the standard 56 lb bushel. That number moves with kernel size, so a large-eared dent corn reaches a bushel on fewer kernels than a flint or an old variety does. For planning a small plot, the 80,000 rule is accurate enough to trust.
Because spacing, not fertility, sets it. Garden rows at 12 in or wider carry far fewer plants per acre than a drilled crop, and yield per plant cannot make that difference up. Convert to seeds per square foot instead, and the number reads honestly.
No, and counting is usually more accurate for a small plot. A household scale cannot resolve enough of a bushel to matter, while a kernel count on a sample of ears scales cleanly upward. Weighing becomes useful mainly as a cross-check on your seed count.
Ten per cent is a reasonable garden figure once birds, tip shrink and dropped ears are counted. A well-set combine in a clean field does better than 5 per cent, while a stand left late into wet weather loses far more. Raise the number if hand harvesting has ever missed ears.
Only if you know the seed count per unit weight for that crop, which varies more than grain does. Sunflower heads differ enormously between birdseed and oil types. The safest approach is to weigh a sample of 100 seeds, then convert your total plant count from there.
Expect plus or minus 15 per cent once you have counted plants and averaged several ears. Before pollination, kernel set can still change greatly, so treat an early estimate as directional only. The count becomes dependable after husks dry and kernels harden.
Chlorova Gardening Team
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Checked against extension-service publications
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